Staff Reports
The political landscape in 2024 is beginning to show the cracks in Kamala Harris’ strategy, and an election analyst has just delivered a chilly forecast for her ambitions. Despite her supporters in the liberal media claiming victory after the latest debate, the reality on the ground tells a different story. Harris’ supposed surge in popularity hasn’t materialized, as evidenced by her struggles to provide substantive answers. Cackling may be entertaining, but it certainly doesn’t address the pressing issues Americans face. Moreover, the peculiar duplication of audience members during her recent Oprah Zoom event raises some eyebrows about the real level of support she commands.
Now, desperation seems to be growing in Harris’ camp as she reportedly seeks another debate with Donald Trump. This move indicates an acknowledgment that her internal polling is less than favorable. The recent polls reveal troubling trends for her campaign, and the clock is running out. The alarm bells are blaring, and Harris knows she needs to bolster her support before it’s too late.
Election Analyst Dashes Harris' Dreams, Explains Why Her 'Electoral College Paths' May Be Closing https://t.co/AbLpCfNlfp pic.twitter.com/wDqKNx9LOt
— FutureTrump2️⃣⏺2️⃣4⃣🍊 (@RealTrump2020_) September 24, 2024
Mark Halperin, a political analyst informed by the latest NYT/Siena poll, has pointed out that Harris’ path to victory through the critical Sun Belt states is all but closing. In recent polling, Trump leads Harris by five points in Arizona, four in Georgia, and two in North Carolina. That’s a troubling sign for Harris, especially when one considers the possibility of losing even one of these states. To stay in the game, she would need a clean sweep of all the other battlegrounds such as Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. If she falters in just one of those areas, her chances vanish.
The stakes are even higher with the speculation around Nebraska’s electoral vote allocation. If the state were to shift to a winner-take-all approach, Harris’ hopes of scraping together an Electoral College majority would dwindle to nearly zero. There may be political roadblocks preventing that switch, but regardless, her options are limited and crumbling.
Adding to her woes, the NYT/Siena poll highlights a staggering 11-point drop among Latino voters in Arizona. This significant loss underscores her administration’s failures on issues like border security, a growing concern for many voters. The Emerson poll aligns with this trend, showing Trump maintaining leads over Harris in critical battleground states, confirming that her grasp on the electorate is slipping.
All of this paints a grim picture for Harris, essentially returning her positioning back to the unpromising state that Joe Biden occupied before his debate with Trump. If the current trends hold true, it appears that Harris may be facing a political defeat no better than her predecessor’s. In an atmosphere of increasing urgency, her campaign appears to be scrambling, which may explain the sudden desire for another debate, as they desperately seek to reignite a dwindling flame of support. Harris and her allies seem to be beginning to understand that, as the election inches closer, time is not on their side.
