Former President Donald Trump might feel like he’s trying to take a leisurely stroll through a minefield as he runs for a second term. Oppressive lawfare, a biased media ceiling, and a surprising shake-up in the Democratic ticket with Vice President Kamala Harris stepping in for sleepy Joe Biden present serious obstacles. But let’s not forget that Trump has a fair bit of ammo in his corner, with pollster Nate Silver recently pointing out 24 reasons why the former president is making strides in the race.
Although Harris appears to have a marginal lead in the popular vote, it’s the Electoral College where the real fun lies. Silver highlights that the Electoral College tends to lean in favor of Republicans by about two percentage points. Put simply, while urban areas might show love for Harris, the rest of the country isn’t quite as smitten. When it comes to the general election landscape, those precious electoral votes mean far more than popularity contests.
BREAKING: Trump now has a 93.2% chance of winning the Electoral College.
And Prominent Polling Analyst Nate Silver Lists 24 Factors Pointing to a Trump Victory.
But a TRUMP WIN will not be easy. Expect the deep state to create chaos, use fake ballots, riot, use cyber attack to… pic.twitter.com/dkgs4Dqr1e
— TRUTH NOW ⭐️⭐️⭐️🗽 (@sxdoc) October 22, 2024
Inflation is another hot potato for Harris and her cohort, which has voters feeling the pinch in their wallets. While Harris might tout some unofficial recovery stats, consumers across America are scratching their heads wondering when things will actually get better. If there’s one thing voters have learned, it’s that what they hear from the governing elite rarely matches their real-life experiences. And with high inflation levels still in the picture, voters are set to keep their focus zeroed in on economic issues.
Diving into global trends, it appears incumbents are taking a hit all around the world. Watching this unfold, Trump and his allies are brimming with optimism. They might also note the rising populism that’s shaking the foundations of global politics, giving them a leg up in the race. Meanwhile, the Biden-Harris administration’s relentless struggles with illegal immigration remain a thorn in their side, making it a divisive topic with no easy resolution.
Among the noteworthy observations Silver offered, there’s also the fascinating predicament Harris finds herself in regarding her own campaign. Critiques about her age and experience ring hollow when considering Biden would have been 86 if he had stayed on for another term. And while some view Harris’ limited campaign time as an advantage, thinking it might reduce opportunities for her to stumble, she’s certainly not immune to scrutiny.
Cultural sentiments are also shifting like tectonic plates beneath the political landscape. Voter nostalgia for Trump’s presidency is palpable, and many Democrats are grappling with the fact that their grip on minority demographics is loosening. Particularly, young men are becoming increasingly disenchanted with the left, stirring an unpredictable storm of electoral decisions. As Harris struggles to communicate a cohesive vision for the future, she seems to be perpetually “running on vibes,” leaving potential supporters with a disappointing lack of substance.
By the time November rolls around, both Trump and Harris will have their work cut out for them. Harris must contend not only with her shortcomings but also with a growing tide of voters longing for a return to the policies that put America first. As for Trump, he’s armed with a slew of factors stacked favorably in his direction. Whether this will translate into another term remains to be seen, but one thing is clear: the race is far from over, and the stakes couldn’t be higher.