Staff Reports
A newly released campaign memo from the Trump-Vance team is sending chills down the spines of Democrats as it outlines several alarming trends in voter turnout that spell trouble for their side. With Election Day looming and early voting now wrapped up, Democrats are staring at a staggering turnout deficit, particularly in urban areas and among female voters—two groups thought to be vital for their electoral success.
According to the memo, sent by RNC Chief Data Consultant Tim Saler to senior members of the Trump-Vance Campaign, data from key battleground states reveal that Republicans and President Trump are significantly outperforming previous elections in both absentee ballots and early votes. The memo suggests that Democrats are in a serious bind, with evidence pointing to a sharp drop in urban turnout, as acknowledged by their own so-called “data experts.” In contrast, rural turnout is on the rise, possibly signaling a red wave hitting these crucial areas.
The memo didn’t hold back in examining the less-than-promising forecasts for Democrats, referencing a candid assessment from former Obama campaign manager Jim Messina, who described the early voting situation as “a little scary.” However, it seems Messina might be underplaying the magnitude of the issues facing Democrats. Polling from national outlets indicates President Trump holds a whopping 16-point lead over Vice President Kamala Harris among those planning to vote on Election Day.
JUST IN: Trump Campaign Releases Major Memo Revealing Democrat Turnout Problem: https://t.co/zBWmDHdmem
— Patriot911 (@Patriot911News) November 4, 2024
Furthermore, the memo points out that Democrats are attempting a risky spin, claiming their voters will eventually show up—despite clear signs to the contrary. Historically, these voters have favored early voting, and if they’re not motivated to cast their ballots ahead of the big day, it raises the question: what would change by Election Day? The Trump-Vance Campaign isn’t waiting around to find out, believing that many Democrats may simply not make it to the polls.
Additional breakdowns from Democrat data expert Tom Bonier reveal catastrophic numbers across battleground states. In Arizona, urban voter turnout has plummeted by a staggering 385,285 votes compared to the previous election cycle, with female participation down by 170,011 votes. Michigan and Pennsylvania aren’t looking any better, with urban turnout down by over 300,000 votes and female turnout experiencing a concerning drop of nearly 450,000 votes in Pennsylvania alone. If these trends persist, Democrats could be facing an uphill battle come tomorrow.
Despite Democrats’ attempts to rally late support, it appears they are fighting an increasingly risky game. With Trump currently leading in key states like North Carolina and Georgia, Vice President Harris has her work cut out for her, needing a clean sweep of the Rust Belt states to have any hope of a comeback. As the clock ticks down, the odds seem decidedly stacked against the Democrats.
