Staff Reports
Joe Biden’s chances for re-election in 2024 are starting to look shaky. While he may have the advantage of raising plenty of money as an incumbent, there are concerns about voter enthusiasm and the potential for a third-party run that could draw away key voters, particularly in suburban areas. It’s clear that Biden might be one of the weakest incumbents to seek a second term.
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Comparisons to Obama’s re-election bid are not valid. Obama had political skills and a younger age on his side, not to mention he was up against Mitt Romney, not Donald Trump. Biden, on the other hand, is struggling with his age, physical abilities, and mental cognition, which could hurt his numbers even more. It’s worth noting that Pennsylvania elected a stroke-ridden man over a Trump acolyte, so anything can happen in this upcoming election.
Democrats are already worried about Biden’s low approval ratings. Senate Democrats are frustrated and concerned, but they doubt that any messaging shift from the White House will change how voters view him before the 2024 election. One anonymous Democratic senator admitted that there is deep apathy among constituents about Biden’s prospective reelection. The senator said, “There’s just no enthusiasm. It does pretty much come down to ‘Well, he’s done a pretty good job, but he’s just too old.'”
Some Democrats are blaming the lack of success in touting “Bidenomics” on the voters not paying attention, which is a weak excuse. It’s never a good strategy to blame the voters for not buying into your message. Biden is facing an uphill battle, especially considering his age and lackluster political team. This election is shaping up to be an all-out gutter fight fueled by the hatred between Democrats and Republicans. While this may keep the election close, it’s also likely to turn off many voters.
Despite concerns about Biden’s chances, it’s important to remember that we’ve heard similar predictions of Democratic voter deflation in the past, but they turned out to be wrong. Republicans hoped for a red wave in the 2022 midterms but only managed to secure a five-seat majority in the House. Biden is now the president and has the advantage of incumbency, even at the age of 1,000. However, he lacks Obama’s political skills and messaging that resonated with voters. Biden’s weak polling numbers are a cause for worry among Democrats, but it remains to be seen if he can turn things around before the 2024 election.
In the end, blaming the voters for not paying attention is not a winning strategy. Democrats should learn from the past and avoid adopting the failed playbook of Jimmy Carter’s campaigns. Blaming Republicans for a supposed national malaise will only further alienate voters. Biden will need a strong message and decisive action if he wants to have a fighting chance in 2024.
