Staff Reports
CNN is already laying the groundwork for a potential Trump victory, providing a mix of polling results that indicate trouble for the Democrats. Harry Enten recently discussed the favorable circumstances for Trump’s campaign during a segment on “CNN News Central”. He pointed out a crucial statistic: only 28 percent of voters believe the country is on the right track. Historically, this percentage aligns more closely with electoral losses for the incumbent party than wins. Enten made it clear that such low confidence in the direction of the nation doesn’t bode well for the Democrats, suggesting that these numbers are a telltale sign for a looming Republican resurgence.
While discussing the broader implications of these polling numbers, Enten highlighted the significant historical fact that when just 28 percent of Americans feel optimistic about the direction of the country, the incumbent party almost always loses. This reality puts Vice President Kamala Harris in a tough spot as she attempts to campaign in the shadow of President Biden’s anemic approval ratings. Those ratings, deep in negative territory, cast a long shadow over the Democratic ticket and suggest a challenging path ahead for anyone trying to succeed him.
If Trump wins, the signs were there all along.
No incumbent party has won another term with so few voters saying the country is on the right track (28%) or when the president's net approval rating is so low (Biden's at -15 pts).
Also, big GOP registration gains in key states. pic.twitter.com/knDQ2HOFtJ
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) October 30, 2024
Kamala Harris didn’t help her case during a recent interview with Fox News, where she struggled to articulate her points about the direction of the nation. Instead of offering substantive responses, her incoherent remarks became a comedic highlight, illustrating how out of touch the Democrats are with voter sentiment. It’s evident that when faced with tough questions, Harris’s lack of clarity only reinforces the skepticism many voters already have about the current administration’s leadership.
Enten also discussed how historic patterns reveal that presidential nominees rarely succeed when their party’s current president is deeply unpopular. A few distant examples include George W. Bush being succeeded by Barack Obama and Lyndon B. Johnson’s party losing to Richard Nixon. The writing on the wall appears grim for Harris, especially considering she would need to defy historical odds to win while following such an unpopular administration, a feat that currently seems improbable at best.
On a more uplifting note for conservatives, Enten observed a surge in Republican voter registrations, especially in key swing states. This indicates a strong GOP presence as the election approaches, particularly in states like Nevada. With early voting trends favoring Republicans, it’s clear that enthusiasm among the Republican electorate is rising, which is sure to produce an exciting election day. The message is simple: don’t be surprised if Trump emerges victorious as the signs have been pointing in that direction all along. If he wins, it won’t just be a fluke; it will be the culmination of clear, observable trends that have been brewing all election season.
