Staff Reports
Polls released on Sunday show former President Donald Trump leading in crucial battleground states, proving that the establishment’s nightmare scenario is materializing once again. After surviving an assassination attempt at a rally in Butler County, Pennsylvania, Trump remains as resilient as ever. The fierce contest for the presidential spot will rely heavily on these pivotal states, making these polls more significant than your average fluff pieces from mainstream media.
President Joe Biden might have scraped by in 2020, grabbing those key states by mere slivers. But 2024 tells a different story. This year, Trump is leading in these all-important states, setting himself up for a potential victory in November.
Town Hall: Here's How the Race Between Trump and Biden Looks in the Battleground States https://t.co/lmpseF52mo
— Ian Hansen 🇺🇸🇺🇸 (@IanHansenFeed) July 14, 2024
Sunday’s poll from CBS News/YouGov America has Trump at 50 percent, edging out Biden’s 48 percent. This is not only a lead but an improvement from last month’s poll, where Biden had a slim edge over Trump. If anything, it shows Trump’s momentum is rock solid, much to the dismay of those wishing for a Democrat encore.
In the seven battleground states—Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin—Trump holds the lead among likely voters. His marginal leads may seem narrow, but when it comes to election day, a win by an inch is as good as a win by a mile. In North Carolina, for instance, he leads 52 percent to Biden’s 48 percent, but even in the other states where the lead is tighter, he still maintains the upper hand.
This isn’t an isolated phenomenon. Trump’s enthusiasm edge over Biden is crystal clear. While 93 percent of Republicans are ready to hit the polls without a second thought, only 85 percent of Democrats show the same level of commitment. Throw Independents into the mix, and Trump still comes out on top, with 51 percent siding with him over Biden’s 47 percent.
Adding salt to the Democrats’ wounds, many voters believe Biden lacks the mental acuity to continue as President. According to these polls, Trump is seen as the more mentally fit candidate. Among registered voters, 44 percent believe only Trump has what it takes mentally to lead the nation, with 88 percent of Republicans and a decent chunk of Independents sharing that sentiment.
For all their talk about Trump being a threat to democracy, Democrats are seeing the tables turn. While a chunk of voters believe that a Trump win could weaken U.S. democracy, the belief is stronger regarding a Biden victory. Numbers don’t lie—Biden isn’t perceived as the democracy-saving knight in shining armor that the Democrats wish he was.
Biden’s troubles are compounded by his performance in debates and ongoing concerns voiced even by fellow Democrats. His abysmal recent debate performance has led some within his own party to urge him to step aside.
Of course, nothing has made Trump’s fortitude more evident than the failed assassination attempt at his rally. His unflinching response, fist in the air as he was led off the stage, only energized his base further. Voters will remember that defiant pose come Election Day, and it’s hard to imagine Biden—or any Democratic hopeful for that matter—emanating even a fraction of that determination.
The narrative is clear: Trump is leading, he’s resilient, and despite every obstacle thrown his way, he stands ready to claim victory in November. The battleground states have spoken, and if these trends hold, Washington better gear up for another Trump presidency.
