In what could only be described as a nail-biter of an election season, former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are locked in a neck-and-neck race for the White House. However, as Republicans look to gain ground in a Senate landscape that seems less than favorable, they might need to dust off the old “Make America Great Again” hats and take a page from Trump’s well-worn playbook because the competition is about as fierce as a competitive knitting club. With 49 seats in the Senate, Republicans need to gain two to take control unless they can pull off a miracle by winning the presidency, in which case they’d only need one. The question now remains: Can Trump’s coattails stretch far enough to carry this party?
Across battleground states like Nevada, Arizona, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, the polls depict a curious picture. While Trump may be either leading or just nipping at Harris’s heels in presidential polling, the same can’t be said for many of the Republican Senate candidates. Many find themselves trailing their Democratic opponents by at least five points, likely leaving them wondering if their political futures rest on a coin toss at this point. The GOP’s hopes for a Senate majority are currently looking about as likely as a snowstorm in July.
RealClearPolitics lists seven key Senate battlegrounds crucial for the Republicans to strike gold. Unfortunately, not only does winning a single seat seem daunting, but the races themselves are chock-full of incumbents who don’t appear eager to hand their seats over to GOP challengers at the nearest convenience store. There’s a silver lining as West Virginia’s Joe Manchin is not seeking re-election, leaving room for Gov. Jim Justice to possibly snag that seat. Yet, with the likes of Sherrod Brown, Jacky Rosen, and Bob Casey firmly entrenched, Republican candidates will have to pull off what can only be described as an electoral Houdini act.
States like Montana and Ohio seem like safe havens for Trump, where he enjoys solid leads over Harris in polling. Yet the Senate nominees from these states are trailing by five points or more. It’s a classic case of “good luck with your presidential campaign, but not so much for your senatorial counterpart.” Meanwhile, in Ohio, the Republican Senate nominee, Bernie Moreno, is struggling to keep pace with the Democratic incumbent Sherrod Brown despite Trump’s predictable popularity. The entire Republican campaign in this case could be likened to a three-legged race where one participant has opted for roller skates.
Then there’s Arizona, an interesting case where the Republican nominee is not facing an incumbent Democrat. While Trump leads by a slim margin over Harris, the Republican Senate candidate, Kari Lake, is trailing behind Rep. Ruben Gallego. It’s a tough spot for Lake, who has made waves as something of an election integrity crusader but finds herself battling demons that aren’t even on the ballot. As for Michigan, it seems like the Democrats are building confidence, with Harris leading Trump and Rep. Elissa Slotkin keeping a firm grip on her Senate race against Republican Mike Rogers.
As Trump and Harris fight close race, Republican Senate hopefuls lag behind https://t.co/jpIYFrUncj
— Just the News (@JustTheNews) August 11, 2024
In conclusion, while Trump may be rallying the base with his signature flair, Republican Senate candidates need some serious divine intervention if they expect to snag two extra seats. Between incumbents solidifying their positions and party candidates trudging uphill in hard-fought states, it’s safe to say the GOP may need a cool beverage and a strong motivational speaker to get themselves through this electoral cycle. After all, politics may be a roller coaster, but right now, it feels less like a thrilling ride and more like a slow-motion plummet.