Staff Reports
In a surprising turn of events, former President Donald Trump has surpassed President Joe Biden in the RealClearPolitics (RCP) polling average. The most recent RCP average shows Trump leading Biden by a slim margin of 0.4 percentage points, with Trump at 44.8% and Biden at 44.4%. Look out, Biden, because it seems like Trump is making a comeback!
This shift in polling numbers couldn’t have come at a worse time for the Biden administration. They are already facing a laundry list of challenges, from economic concerns to foreign policy issues to the ongoing pandemic. It’s not looking good for them, and these poll numbers only amplify their struggles.
Now, let’s talk about the reliability of the RCP average. While individual polls can vary based on methodology and sample size, the RCP average is often considered a trusted indicator of public sentiment because it takes multiple polls into account. We’re not talking just any polls, either. The Wall Street Journal, CNN, and the New York Post all had a hand in shaping this average. So, these numbers should not be taken lightly.
What does this shift in polling numbers mean? Well, it suggests that Trump’s popularity is potentially resurging while Biden’s standing with the American public is in question. Biden better find a way to regain support from minorities soon, or else he’ll continue the trend of diminishing Democratic strength among traditionally democratic demographics. It’s like a sinking ship, and the captain needs to do something fast!
The New York Times recently released a report that sheds even more light on Biden’s weakening support. According to the report, Biden’s lead over Trump among registered non-white voters has dropped to a meager 53% to 28%. Ouch! That’s a significant decline from the 70% of the non-white vote he secured in 2020. Biden better figure out how to win back those voters who previously supported him, or else he can kiss his chances of reelection goodbye.
JUST IN: Former President Donald Trump has overtaken President Joe Biden in Real Clear Politics polling average for the 2024 election.
The RPC average now shows Trump leading by +0.4.
This explains why the regime media as well as Democrat politicians are beginning to abandon… pic.twitter.com/x1RDSlpCjs
— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) September 14, 2023
There are many factors contributing to Biden’s vulnerabilities. His age, the rising inflation rates, and other socio-economic challenges are hitting non-white voters harder than their white counterparts. Biden’s approval rating among non-white voters is a dismal 47%, with a favorability rating of only 54%. Yikes!
And let’s not forget about the hot-button issues that may not resonate as strongly with Black and Hispanic voters, who tend to be more conservative than white Biden supporters. Topics like abortion and threats to democracy might not be getting the traction that Biden would hope for. Plus, economic challenges play a role, with Biden underperforming significantly among non-white voters earning less than $100,000 per year.
The data also reveals an education gap among non-white voters, with Biden maintaining a stronger lead among non-white college graduates compared to those without a four-year degree. This suggests that Trump’s conservative populism is influencing the political affiliations of working-class voters across all racial backgrounds. It’s like a political earthquake!
Biden’s dwindling support is not limited to one specific demographic or racial group. While he still leads with Black voters at 72-11, and with Hispanic registrants at 47-35, these figures are far lower than his performance in the 2020 election. It seems like the generation gap is starting to show among Black voters too, with younger Black voters showing less support for Biden compared to their older counterparts.
If these trends continue, the 2024 elections could result in the weakest performance by a Democratic leader among Black and Hispanic voters since Walter Mondale in 1984, according to the New York Times. That’s not a good look for Biden and the Democratic party.
In conclusion, with Trump blazing ahead in the polls and Biden struggling to maintain support from key demographics, the 2024 elections are shaping up to be quite the battle. Biden better figure out how to turn things around and win back the trust of the American people. Otherwise, he might just find himself packing his bags and heading back to Delaware. Stay tuned, folks!
