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Ukraine’s Partial Ceasefire Gamble: Will It Satisfy Russia?

Recent developments show Ukraine has conditionally agreed to a partial ceasefire with Russia, but key disagreements persist over long-term peace terms. While Ukraine accepted a temporary pause in strikes on energy infrastructure, Russia continues to insist on deal-breakers like complete disarmament and an end to Western military aid.

– 30-day pause in attacks on energy infrastructure if Russia reciprocates
– Unconditional ceasefire, return of prisoners/children, European involvement in peace talks

– End all foreign military aid to Ukraine
– 95% reduction of Ukraine’s military to 50k troops
– Permanent neutrality (no NATO membership)

Ben Shapiro argues the U.S.-brokered deal puts “the ball in Russia’s court” after Ukrainian concessions, but warns cutting military aid would embolden Putin. The Trump administration claims progress, while Kremlin statements contradict U.S. reports about ceasefire specifics.

1. Would leave country defenseless against future invasions
2. Requires surrendering 20% of territory Russia currently occupies
3. Would end EU/NATO integration efforts central to national identity

While negotiations continue, Ukraine remains unwilling to accept Russia’s core demands despite pressure from some Western commentators to make “ugly compromises”. The energy ceasefire could buy time, but lasting peace requires resolving irreconcilable positions on sovereignty and security guarantees.

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