In a stunning turn of events, it appears that former President Donald Trump is making a triumphant comeback, leading President Joe Biden in five out of six vital swing states by significant margins. A recent poll conducted by The New York Times and Sierra College reveals that voters in Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Michigan all prefer Trump over Biden for the 2024 election, with margins ranging from three to 10 points. The swing state of Wisconsin is the only exception, where Biden holds a slight lead over Trump.
It seems that Biden’s “multiracial and multigenerational coalition” is unraveling at the seams, as voters overwhelmingly view the country as heading in the wrong direction. Trump’s resurgence is evident as he gains support from various demographics, with the poll indicating declining support for Biden among Hispanics and young voters. Even more surprising is Trump’s surge in the African American community, where he has garnered a staggering 22 percent support, compared to his previous 8 percent in 2020. If this trend continues, Trump could secure an unprecedented level of support from black voters, not seen in decades.
President Biden is trailing Donald Trump in five of the six most important battleground states one year before the 2024 election, new polls by The New York Times and Siena College have found. https://t.co/vkZgb4pC8G
— The New York Times (@nytimes) November 5, 2023
Another poll conducted by Bloomberg News and Morning Consult confirms Trump’s increasing advantage, showing him ahead in an average of several swing states. This comprehensive poll places Trump at 47 percent and Biden at 43 percent in the crucial states of Arizona, Michigan, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Although Biden manages to maintain a tie with Trump in Michigan, and ekes out a three-point lead in Nevada, Trump’s dominance is evident in the other battleground states.
These poll results suggest that if the election were held today, Trump would obtain a staggering 300 electoral college votes, far surpassing the required 270 to secure victory. Voters attribute Biden’s struggles to his perceived age-related issues and questionable policies, while Trump’s policies are praised as beneficial and effective.
The poll, conducted from October 22 to November 3, surveyed 3,662 registered voters across the six swing states. Although these results may provide valuable insights, it’s important to note that they have a margin of error of plus or minus 1.8 points. If these current trends continue, Trump’s resurgence will undoubtedly shape the upcoming election, putting him in a favorable position to secure a resounding victory.