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USPTO Backlog to 2031 as Director Squires’ Cuts Drive Examiners Away

The Government Accountability Office just dropped a report that should wake up every inventor and investor who cares about American innovation. The GAO warns that the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office’s plan to slash a huge backlog may fail unless the agency stops losing so many patent examiners. In short: hurry-up tactics are piling pressure on staff and risking the quality of patents that matter to our economy.

GAO finds the backlog won’t hit the target without fixing attrition

The GAO report makes the math plain. The unexamined patent inventory climbed into the high hundreds of thousands, fell some, but still sits far above the USPTO’s stated target of under 599,000 applications. The watchdog’s modeling is blunt: “Even with examiners doing more work, the USPTO is unlikely to reduce the backlog to under 599,000 patent applications before 2031 without lowering examiner attrition.” Examiner turnover rose from about 3% to more than 7% in recent years. The agency hired many examiners, but departures outpaced hires during the same stretch. That combination undercuts any gains from short-term productivity pushes.

Cutting training and leaning on AI is a risky mix

Management chose to squeeze more output by cutting long-standing training time and trimming new-hire instruction. That means subject-matter training hours disappeared and formal training for fresh examiners was sharply shortened. At the same time, the USPTO expanded AI tools that, in practice, have not lived up to hype. Stakeholders told GAO that some AI search tools returned incomplete or irrelevant results, forcing manual work anyway. So the agency expects faster work, gives less time to learn, and leans on software that isn’t reliable. That’s a formula for missed prior art, weak office actions, and more costly fights in court later. Nice economy of scale—if your idea of scale is more appeals and litigation.

Congress and Director Squires need answers and action

GAO recommended the USPTO director assess the risks these policies pose to examiner retention and examination quality. That recommendation is open, and it should not sit on a shelf. Under Secretary of Commerce for Intellectual Property and Director of the United States Patent and Trademark Office John A. Squires must publish a clear risk assessment and a plan. Congress should press for hearings and accountability. Restore training hours, pause aggressive productivity metrics until quality checks are back, and prove AI tools actually save time without sacrificing completeness. Inventors need reliable patents, not fast paper.

Bottom line: speed without stewardship hurts innovation

We all want a leaner patent process. But speed for speed’s sake is false economy. Rushing examiners, cutting learning time, and trusting unproven AI will not make American innovation stronger. It will make it more costly and more uncertain. If the USPTO wants to beat the backlog, it must recruit and keep skilled examiners, lift quality monitoring back to full strength, and be honest about trade-offs. Otherwise the promise of faster patents will be a punchline—one that inventors and investors will pay for for years to come.

Written by Staff Reports

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